May 2026 Market Data •Redfin City-Limits Figures
Data collected for May 2026 (the most recent full month of closings), with year-over-year comparisons to May 2025. These are city-limits-only figures pulled from Redfin, not metro-wide MLS totals. Competitiveness and “typical time to pending” reflect Redfin’s trailing three-month Compete Score. This update covers the city of Dana Point, CA.
The Market at a Glance — May 2026
| Metric | Dana Point — May 2026 |
| Median sale price | $1,997,804 (+15.5% YoY) |
| Sale-to-list ratio | 98.5% |
| Homes sold above list | 26.6% |
| Homes with price drops | 21.8% |
| Homes sold | 131 |
| Typical time to pending | ~40 days |
| Redfin Compete Score | Somewhat Competitive |
“Competition” reflects Redfin’s Compete Score — a 0–100 rating of how hard buyers compete for homes over the trailing three months, based on how many offers homes receive, how often they sell above asking, how quickly they go pending, and the sale-to-list ratio. Dana Point’s low price-drop rate and quick pace point to a market with real momentum.
Prices and Pace
Dana Point is the standout performer on the coast. The median sale price surged 15.5% year over year to $1,997,804 — the strongest gain among the coastal Orange County cities — as the harbor town’s ongoing revitalization and its rare combination of beach access, marina lifestyle, and relative value (just under the $2M mark) draw enthusiastic demand. The transformation of the Dana Point Harbor and the energized Lantern District have only sharpened the city’s appeal.
Momentum shows in the pace as well. Homes went to pending in roughly 40 days, brisk for the coast, and the sale-to-list ratio held strong at 98.5% — meaning homes sold within about 1–2% of asking. With 131 closings, this is a smaller but vigorous market.
Where the Leverage Sits
Of all the coastal cities, Dana Point gives buyers the least slack at the moment. More than a quarter of homes — 26.6% — sold above list, while just 21.8% of listings cut price, the lowest reduction rate on the coast. Combined with a quick 40-day pace, that signals a market where well-priced, desirable homes move fast and sometimes draw competing offers. Buyers should come prepared and decisive.
Dana Point spans the gated bluff-top estates of Monarch Beach, the harbor-adjacent Lantern District, and the more attainable inland neighborhoods of Capistrano Beach, so price points and competition vary widely by pocket. As always, anchor offers to recent comparable sales in the specific community.
What This Means for Buyers
Dana Point demands preparation. As the coast’s fastest-appreciating market with the lowest rate of price cuts and a brisk 40-day pace, well-priced homes here can move quickly and attract multiple offers. Buyers should have financing fully in order and be ready to act on the right property rather than expecting the deeper discounts available in the slower luxury markets to the north. Leverage is thinner here — target homes with some days on market for negotiating room, and don’t dawdle on the standouts.
What This Means for Sellers
Dana Point sellers are in the strongest position on the coast. Prices are up sharply, homes are selling close to ask and often above it, and the market is moving quickly. Correctly priced, well-presented homes can sell promptly and competitively — but the same discipline still applies, as roughly one in five listings did require a reduction. Price to recent comparable sales in your pocket, present the home well, and you are positioned to capture this city’s strong momentum.
Bottom Line
Dana Point enters summer 2026 as coastal Orange County’s momentum market — the biggest price gains, the fewest price cuts, and a quick pace, all powered by the harbor’s revitalization and the city’s rare blend of beach lifestyle and relative value. It is the coast’s most seller-friendly and buyer-competitive city, and prepared buyers should move decisively.